Risk of Hepatocellular Cancer in HCV Patients Treated With Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents
Phase observationalN = 22,500
- Population
- Hepatitis C patients treated with direct-acting antivirals in the Veterans Health Administration in 2015 (mean age 61.6 years; 39.0% with cirrhosis).
- Design
- Retrospective cohort study in 129 Veterans Health Administration hospitals of hepatitis C patients treated with DAA between 1 January and 31 December 2015, comparing HCC risk by SVR status with Cox regression. Observational: arm roles label the SVR comparison, not randomised assignment.
- Arms
- SVR achieved (experimental, n = 19,518): Treated with DAA, sustained virological response achieved
- No SVR (control, n = 2,982): Treated with DAA, no sustained virological response
- People
- Kanwal F
Incidence of hepatocellular carcinomaHR 0.28 (95% CI 0.22–0.36)
Show the numbers
| Endpoint | Analysis | SVR achieved | No SVR | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma22,500 patients treated with DAA (19,518 with SVR; 2982 without)Risk of new hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with versus without SVR, adjusted hazard ratio from Cox regression. | primaryKanwal 2017 | — | — | HR 0.28 (95% CI 0.22–0.36)271 new HCC cases, 183 of them in patients with SVR. Incidence 0.90 vs 3.45 HCC per 100 person-years (SVR vs no SVR). In patients with SVR, cirrhosis carried the highest annual incidence: 1.82 vs 0.34 per 100 person-years without cirrhosis, adjusted hazard ratio 4.73 (95% CI 3.34-6.68). Authors state they found no evidence that DAAs promote HCC. |
| Endpoint | Analysis | SVR achieved | No SVR | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma22,500 patients treated with DAA (19,518 with SVR; 2982 without)Risk of new hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with versus without SVR, adjusted hazard ratio from Cox regression. | primaryKanwal 2017 | — | — | HR 0.28 (95% CI 0.22–0.36)271 new HCC cases, 183 of them in patients with SVR. Incidence 0.90 vs 3.45 HCC per 100 person-years (SVR vs no SVR). In patients with SVR, cirrhosis carried the highest annual incidence: 1.82 vs 0.34 per 100 person-years without cirrhosis, adjusted hazard ratio 4.73 (95% CI 3.34-6.68). Authors state they found no evidence that DAAs promote HCC. |
Data table
| Endpoint | HR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma | 0.28 | 0.22–0.36 |