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Bending the Curve Trial by Trial
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Interferon alfa-2a as compared with conventional chemotherapy for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia)

Phase 3N = 322

Population
Previously untreated or minimally treated Philadelphia chromosome-positive CML.
Design
Prospective randomized comparison, 1986 to 1988, designed with 80 percent power to detect a 20 percent difference in median survival; interferon alfa-2a versus conventional chemotherapy (hydroxyurea or busulfan).
Arms
  • Conventional chemotherapy (control, n = 104): Hydroxyurea or busulfan
  • Interferon alfa-2a (experimental, n = 218): Recombinant interferon alfa-2a
People
Tura S, Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia
Δ median OS+20 monthsΔ 72-month OS+21 pointsΔ Karyotypic response+25 pointsΔ median OS+40 monthsΔ 120-month OS+17 pointsΔ median OS+23 months
Show the numbers
Results reported for Interferon alfa-2a as compared with conventional chemotherapy for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia)
EndpointAnalysisInterferon alfa-2aConventional chemotherapyEffect
OSRandomized patients (322)primaryItalian 1994median 72 months; 50% at 6 ymedian 52 months; 29% at 6 yP=0.002The abstract states P = 0.002 for both the time-to-progression and survival comparisons. It also reports time to progression to accelerated or blastic phase as a median of more than 72 months with interferon alfa-2a versus 45 months with conventional chemotherapy (P<0.001); see the TTP result.
TTPRandomized patients (322)primaryItalian 1994—median 45 monthsP<0.001Published median time to progression was more than 72 months with interferon alfa-2a (a lower bound, so not entered as a number) versus 45 months with conventional chemotherapy. Only the chemotherapy arm can be entered, so this result must not be plotted or compared as a pair.
Karyotypic responseRandomized patients (322)More than 33 percent of metaphases negative for the Philadelphia chromosome.primaryItalian 199430%5%P<0.001
OSLow-risk patients; intention-to-treat analysis (stated in the 1998 abstract) with patients who had allogeneic transplant in chronic phase censored at transplantlong term-updateItalian 1998median 104 months (85–127); 47% at 10 y (36–59%)median 64 months (49–98); 30% at 10 y (16–44%)P=.03Risk grouping is as used in the long-term paper; the abstract does not define it beyond mentioning Sokal risk as associated with survival.
OSNon-low-risk patients; intention-to-treat analysis (stated in the 1998 abstract) with patients who had allogeneic transplant in chronic phase censored at transplantlong term-updateItalian 1998median 69 months (56–76); 16% at 10 y (8–24%)median 46 months (39–61); 5% at 10 y (0–11%)P=.006
Results reported for Interferon alfa-2a as compared with conventional chemotherapy for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia)
EndpointAnalysisInterferon alfa-2aConventional chemotherapyEffect
OSRandomized patients (322)primaryItalian 1994median 72 months; 50% at 6 ymedian 52 months; 29% at 6 yP=0.002The abstract states P = 0.002 for both the time-to-progression and survival comparisons. It also reports time to progression to accelerated or blastic phase as a median of more than 72 months with interferon alfa-2a versus 45 months with conventional chemotherapy (P<0.001); see the TTP result.
TTPRandomized patients (322)primaryItalian 1994—median 45 monthsP<0.001Published median time to progression was more than 72 months with interferon alfa-2a (a lower bound, so not entered as a number) versus 45 months with conventional chemotherapy. Only the chemotherapy arm can be entered, so this result must not be plotted or compared as a pair.
Karyotypic responseRandomized patients (322)More than 33 percent of metaphases negative for the Philadelphia chromosome.primaryItalian 199430%5%P<0.001
OSLow-risk patients; intention-to-treat analysis (stated in the 1998 abstract) with patients who had allogeneic transplant in chronic phase censored at transplantlong term-updateItalian 1998median 104 months (85–127); 47% at 10 y (36–59%)median 64 months (49–98); 30% at 10 y (16–44%)P=.03Risk grouping is as used in the long-term paper; the abstract does not define it beyond mentioning Sokal risk as associated with survival.
OSNon-low-risk patients; intention-to-treat analysis (stated in the 1998 abstract) with patients who had allogeneic transplant in chronic phase censored at transplantlong term-updateItalian 1998median 69 months (56–76); 16% at 10 y (8–24%)median 46 months (39–61); 5% at 10 y (0–11%)P=.006
Illustrative — modelled from reported values, not trial data. OS, primary.
0%25%50%75%100%050100150Months (modelled)
  • Conventional chemotherapy (control)
  • Interferon alfa-2a (experimental)

Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.

Data table (modelled values)
MonthsConventional chemotherapyInterferon alfa-2a
0100.0%100.0%
4554.9%64.8%
9030.1%42.0%
13516.5%27.3%
1809.1%17.7%
Illustrative — modelled from reported values, not trial data. TTP, primary.
0%25%50%75%100%020406080100Months (modelled)
  • Conventional chemotherapy (control)

Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.

Data table (modelled values)
MonthsConventional chemotherapy
0100.0%
2865.0%
5642.2%
8427.4%
11317.5%
Primary publication: Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia, Tura S, Baccarani M, Zuffa E, Russo D, Fanin R, et al. Interferon alfa-2a as compared with conventional chemotherapy for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia. N Engl J Med. 1994;330(12):820-5. PubMedDOI

Appears in

Sources

  1. Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia, Tura S, Baccarani M, Zuffa E, Russo D, Fanin R, et al. Interferon alfa-2a as compared with conventional chemotherapy for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia. N Engl J Med. 1994;330(12):820-5.

    PubMedDOI

  2. Italian Cooperative Study Group on Chronic Myeloid Leukemia. Long-term follow-up of the Italian trial of interferon-alpha versus conventional chemotherapy in chronic myeloid leukemia. Blood. 1998;92(5):1541-8.

    PubMed