EMERALD-1
Durvalumab with or without bevacizumab with transarterial chemoembolisation in hepatocellular carcinoma (EMERALD-1): a multiregional, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study
Phase 3N = 616NCT03778957
- Population
- Adults with unresectable HCC amenable to embolisation, ECOG performance status 0 or 1, and at least one measurable intrahepatic lesion
- Design
- Multiregional, randomised (1:1:1), double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 study at 157 sites in 18 countries, stratified by TACE method, region and portal vein invasion: TACE plus durvalumab plus bevacizumab, TACE plus durvalumab plus placebo, or TACE plus placebo alone. The primary end point was progression-free survival by blinded independent central review (BICR) per RECIST 1.1 for durvalumab plus bevacizumab versus placebo alone in the ITT population; overall survival is to be reported later.
- Primary endpoint
- PFS
- Arms
- TACE plus durvalumab plus bevacizumab (experimental, n = 204): TACE plus durvalumab 1500 mg every 4 weeks then 1120 mg with bevacizumab 15 mg/kg every 3 weeks
- TACE plus durvalumab (experimental, n = 207): TACE plus durvalumab (same regimen) plus placebo in place of bevacizumab
- TACE plus placebo (control, n = 205): TACE plus placebo in place of durvalumab and bevacizumab
- People
- Sangro B
PFSHR 0.77 (95% CI 0.61–0.98)Δ median PFS+6.8 monthsPFSHR 0.94 (95% CI 0.75–1.19)Δ median PFS+1.8 months
Show the numbers
| Endpoint | Analysis | TACE plus durvalumab plus bevacizumab / TACE plus durvalumab | TACE plus placebo | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFSProgression-free survival by BICR per RECIST 1.1 (primary end point), durvalumab plus bevacizumab versus placebo alone | finalmedian follow-up 27.9 monthsSangro 2025 | median 15 months (11.1–18.9) | median 8.2 months (6.9–11.1) | HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.61–0.98)P=0.032Two-sided p. Median follow-up for progression-free survival was 27.9 months (95% CI 27.4-30.4). The paper describes this as the final progression-free survival analysis (final-analysis significance threshold 0.044); an earlier interim progression-free survival analysis (13 June 2022) had not met significance. |
| PFSProgression-free survival by BICR per RECIST 1.1 (key secondary end point), durvalumab plus placebo versus placebo alone | finalmedian follow-up 27.9 monthsSangro 2025 | median 10 months (9.0–12.7) | median 8.2 months (6.9–11.1) | HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.75–1.19)P=0.64Two-sided p. Key secondary endpoint, tested after the primary objective. Reported at the same final progression-free survival analysis. |
| Endpoint | Analysis | TACE plus durvalumab plus bevacizumab / TACE plus durvalumab | TACE plus placebo | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFSProgression-free survival by BICR per RECIST 1.1 (primary end point), durvalumab plus bevacizumab versus placebo alone | finalmedian follow-up 27.9 monthsSangro 2025 | median 15 months (11.1–18.9) | median 8.2 months (6.9–11.1) | HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.61–0.98)P=0.032Two-sided p. Median follow-up for progression-free survival was 27.9 months (95% CI 27.4-30.4). The paper describes this as the final progression-free survival analysis (final-analysis significance threshold 0.044); an earlier interim progression-free survival analysis (13 June 2022) had not met significance. |
| PFSProgression-free survival by BICR per RECIST 1.1 (key secondary end point), durvalumab plus placebo versus placebo alone | finalmedian follow-up 27.9 monthsSangro 2025 | median 10 months (9.0–12.7) | median 8.2 months (6.9–11.1) | HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.75–1.19)P=0.64Two-sided p. Key secondary endpoint, tested after the primary objective. Reported at the same final progression-free survival analysis. |
Data table
| Endpoint | HR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| PFS | 0.77 | 0.61–0.98 |
| PFS | 0.94 | 0.75–1.19 |
- TACE plus durvalumab plus bevacizumab (experimental)
- TACE plus placebo (control)
Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.
Data table (modelled values)
| Months | TACE plus durvalumab plus bevacizumab | TACE plus placebo |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 9 | 66.0% | 46.7% |
| 19 | 41.6% | 20.1% |
| 28 | 27.4% | 9.4% |
| 38 | 17.3% | 4.0% |
- TACE plus durvalumab (experimental)
- TACE plus placebo (control)
Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.
Data table (modelled values)
| Months | TACE plus durvalumab | TACE plus placebo |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 6 | 66.0% | 60.2% |
| 13 | 40.6% | 33.3% |
| 19 | 26.8% | 20.1% |
| 25 | 17.7% | 12.1% |