Skip to content
Bending the Curve Trial by Trial
?

CheckMate 649

Efficacy Study of Nivolumab Plus Ipilimumab or Nivolumab Plus Chemotherapy Against Chemotherapy in Stomach Cancer or Stomach/Esophagus Junction Cancer

Phase 3N = 1,581NCT02872116

Population
Previously untreated, unresectable, non-HER2-positive gastric, gastro-oesophageal junction or oesophageal adenocarcinoma, regardless of PD-L1 expression (about 70% gastric by primary tumour location in the 3-year report).
Design
Multicentre open-label randomised phase 3 trial in 175 hospitals and cancer centres in 29 countries. Patients were randomly assigned 1:1:1 while all three groups were open (nivolumab plus chemotherapy, nivolumab plus ipilimumab, or chemotherapy alone); this record covers the two arms compared in the primary report, 1581 patients concurrently randomised to nivolumab plus chemotherapy or chemotherapy alone. Chemotherapy was capecitabine plus oxaliplatin every 3 weeks or leucovorin, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin every 2 weeks. Primary endpoints for nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy: OS or PFS by blinded independent central review in patients with PD-L1 combined positive score (CPS) of 5 or more.
Primary endpoint
OS, PFS
Arms
  • Chemotherapy alone (control, n = 792): Capecitabine plus oxaliplatin or leucovorin, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin
  • Nivolumab plus chemotherapy (experimental, n = 789): Nivolumab (360 mg every 3 weeks or 240 mg every 2 weeks) with the same chemotherapy
People
Janjigian YY, senior author Ajani JA
OSHR 0.71Δ median OS+3.3 monthsPFSHR 0.68OSHR 0.70 (95% CI 0.61–0.81)Δ 36-month OS+11 pointsΔ median OS+3.3 months
Show the numbers
Results reported for CheckMate 649
EndpointAnalysisNivolumab plus chemotherapyChemotherapy aloneEffect
OSPD-L1 CPS 5 or moreprimaryJanjigian 2021median 14.4 months (13.1–16.2)median 11.1 months (10.0–12.1)HR 0.71P<0.0001The hazard ratio is given with a 98.4% confidence interval of 0.59 to 0.86 (not a 95% interval); minimum follow-up 12.1 months to the 27 May 2020 data cutoff. Median OS 14.4 (95% CI 13.1-16.2) versus 11.1 (10.0-12.1) months, a 3.3-month improvement, from the full text.
PFSPD-L1 CPS 5 or morePFS by blinded independent central reviewprimaryJanjigian 2021——HR 0.68P<0.0001The abstract gives the hazard ratio with a 98% confidence interval of 0.56 to 0.81 (not a 95% interval); minimum follow-up 12.1 months.
OSPD-L1 CPS 5 or morelong term-updateJanjigian 202421% at 3 y10% at 3 yHR 0.70 (95% CI 0.61–0.81)Minimum follow-up 36.2 months.
OSPD-L1 CPS 5 or more (473 nivolumab plus chemotherapy, 482 chemotherapy)long term-updateJanjigian 2024median 14.4 months (13.1–16.2)median 11.1 months (10.0–12.1)Median follow-up 47.4 months (range 36.2-61.5) with nivolumab plus chemotherapy and 47.3 months (36.6-61.3) with chemotherapy; clinical cutoff 31 May 2022.
OSAll randomly assigned patients (789 nivolumab plus chemotherapy, 792 chemotherapy)long term-updateJanjigian 2024——HR 0.79 (95% CI 0.71–0.88)Overall population from the 3-year report; clinical cutoff 31 May 2022.
PFSPD-L1 CPS 5 or morePFS by blinded independent central reviewlong term-updateJanjigian 202413% at 3 y8% at 3 yHR 0.70 (95% CI 0.60–0.81)
ORRPD-L1 CPS 5 or moreObjective response rate per blinded independent central reviewlong term-updateJanjigian 202460% (55–65%)45% (40–50%)—
Results reported for CheckMate 649
EndpointAnalysisNivolumab plus chemotherapyChemotherapy aloneEffect
OSPD-L1 CPS 5 or moreprimaryJanjigian 2021median 14.4 months (13.1–16.2)median 11.1 months (10.0–12.1)HR 0.71P<0.0001The hazard ratio is given with a 98.4% confidence interval of 0.59 to 0.86 (not a 95% interval); minimum follow-up 12.1 months to the 27 May 2020 data cutoff. Median OS 14.4 (95% CI 13.1-16.2) versus 11.1 (10.0-12.1) months, a 3.3-month improvement, from the full text.
PFSPD-L1 CPS 5 or morePFS by blinded independent central reviewprimaryJanjigian 2021——HR 0.68P<0.0001The abstract gives the hazard ratio with a 98% confidence interval of 0.56 to 0.81 (not a 95% interval); minimum follow-up 12.1 months.
OSPD-L1 CPS 5 or morelong term-updateJanjigian 202421% at 3 y10% at 3 yHR 0.70 (95% CI 0.61–0.81)Minimum follow-up 36.2 months.
OSPD-L1 CPS 5 or more (473 nivolumab plus chemotherapy, 482 chemotherapy)long term-updateJanjigian 2024median 14.4 months (13.1–16.2)median 11.1 months (10.0–12.1)Median follow-up 47.4 months (range 36.2-61.5) with nivolumab plus chemotherapy and 47.3 months (36.6-61.3) with chemotherapy; clinical cutoff 31 May 2022.
OSAll randomly assigned patients (789 nivolumab plus chemotherapy, 792 chemotherapy)long term-updateJanjigian 2024——HR 0.79 (95% CI 0.71–0.88)Overall population from the 3-year report; clinical cutoff 31 May 2022.
PFSPD-L1 CPS 5 or morePFS by blinded independent central reviewlong term-updateJanjigian 202413% at 3 y8% at 3 yHR 0.70 (95% CI 0.60–0.81)
ORRPD-L1 CPS 5 or moreObjective response rate per blinded independent central reviewlong term-updateJanjigian 202460% (55–65%)45% (40–50%)—
Hazard ratio (95% CI) by endpoint. Values below 1 favour the experimental arm.
OSOSPFS0.512◀ experimentalcontrol ▶
Data table
EndpointHR95% CI
OS0.70.61–0.81
OS0.790.71–0.88
PFS0.70.6–0.81
Illustrative — modelled from reported values, not trial data. OS, primary.
0%25%50%75%100%0102030Months (modelled)
  • Nivolumab plus chemotherapy (experimental)
  • Chemotherapy alone (control)

Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.

Data table (modelled values)
MonthsNivolumab plus chemotherapyChemotherapy alone
0100.0%100.0%
964.8%57.0%
1842.0%32.5%
2727.3%18.5%
3617.7%10.6%
Illustrative — modelled from reported values, not trial data. OS, long term-update.
0%25%50%75%100%0102030Months (modelled)
  • Nivolumab plus chemotherapy (experimental)
  • Chemotherapy alone (control)

Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.

Data table (modelled values)
MonthsNivolumab plus chemotherapyChemotherapy alone
0100.0%100.0%
964.8%57.0%
1842.0%32.5%
2727.3%18.5%
3617.7%10.6%
Primary publication: Janjigian YY, Shitara K, Moehler M, Garrido M, Salman P, Shen L, et al. First-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for advanced gastric, gastro-oesophageal junction, and oesophageal adenocarcinoma (CheckMate 649): a randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet. 2021;398(10294):27-40. PubMedDOI

Appears in

Sources

  1. Janjigian YY, Shitara K, Moehler M, Garrido M, Salman P, Shen L, et al. First-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for advanced gastric, gastro-oesophageal junction, and oesophageal adenocarcinoma (CheckMate 649): a randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet. 2021;398(10294):27-40.

    PubMedDOI

  2. Janjigian YY, Ajani JA, Moehler M, Shen L, Garrido M, Gallardo C, et al. First-Line Nivolumab Plus Chemotherapy for Advanced Gastric, Gastroesophageal Junction, and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: 3-Year Follow-Up of the Phase III CheckMate 649 Trial. J Clin Oncol. 2024;42(17):2012-2020.

    PubMedDOI