CheckMate 459
Nivolumab versus sorafenib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (CheckMate 459): a randomised, multicentre, open-label, phase 3 trial
Phase 3N = 743NCT02576509
- Population
- Patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma not eligible for, or progressing after, surgery or locoregional treatment; no previous systemic therapy; Child-Pugh class A; ECOG performance status 0 or 1; regardless of viral hepatitis status
- Design
- Randomised (1:1), open-label phase 3 trial at centres in 22 countries and territories; nivolumab 240 mg intravenously every 2 weeks versus sorafenib 400 mg twice daily until progression or unacceptable toxicity, as first-line therapy. Primary endpoint overall survival in the intention-to-treat population; protocol-defined significance level p = 0.0419.
- Primary endpoint
- OS
- Arms
- Nivolumab (experimental, n = 371): Nivolumab 240 mg intravenously every 2 weeks
- Sorafenib (control, n = 372): Sorafenib 400 mg orally twice daily
- People
- Yau T
OSHR 0.85 (95% CI 0.72–1.02)Δ median OS+1.7 months
Show the numbers
| Endpoint | Analysis | Nivolumab | Sorafenib | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OS | primaryYau 2022 | median 16.4 months (13.9–18.4) | median 14.7 months (11.9–17.2) | HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.72–1.02)P=0.075The protocol-defined significance level of p = 0.0419 was not reached. Median follow-up for overall survival was 15.2 months (nivolumab) and 13.4 months (sorafenib); minimum follow-up 22.8 months. |
| Endpoint | Analysis | Nivolumab | Sorafenib | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OS | primaryYau 2022 | median 16.4 months (13.9–18.4) | median 14.7 months (11.9–17.2) | HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.72–1.02)P=0.075The protocol-defined significance level of p = 0.0419 was not reached. Median follow-up for overall survival was 15.2 months (nivolumab) and 13.4 months (sorafenib); minimum follow-up 22.8 months. |
Data table
| Endpoint | HR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| OS | 0.85 | 0.72–1.02 |
- Nivolumab (experimental)
- Sorafenib (control)
Median-only curves assume a constant hazard (exponential) and fit plateaus, as seen with some immunotherapies, poorly.
Data table (modelled values)
| Months | Nivolumab | Sorafenib |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 10 | 65.5% | 62.4% |
| 21 | 41.2% | 37.1% |
| 31 | 27.0% | 23.2% |
| 41 | 17.7% | 14.5% |