Assessment of minimal residual disease in standard-risk AML (NPM1-mutated AML within the NCRI AML17 trial)
Phase observationalN = 346
- Population
- Patients with NPM1-mutated AML who had received intensive treatment in the AML17 trial.
- Design
- Cohort analysis within the National Cancer Research Institute AML17 trial: reverse-transcriptase quantitative PCR for NPM1-mutated transcripts in 2569 samples from 346 patients, with targeted 51-gene sequencing of diagnosis (223) and relapse (49) samples and validation in an independent cohort. No treatment comparison.
- Arms
- NPM1 transcripts not persistent (control): No persisting NPM1-mutated transcripts in blood after the second chemotherapy cycle (reference group)
- NPM1 transcripts persistent (experimental): Persisting NPM1-mutated transcripts in blood after the second chemotherapy cycle (15% of patients)
- People
- Ivey A, UK National Cancer Research Institute AML Working Group
Relapse riskHR 4.80 (95% CI 2.95–7.80)Δ 36-month Relapse risk+52 pointsOSHR 4.38 (95% CI 2.57–7.47)Δ OS−51 points
Show the numbers
| Endpoint | Analysis | NPM1 transcripts persistent | NPM1 transcripts not persistent | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relapse riskPatients with NPM1-mutated AML, MRD status in blood after the second chemotherapy cycle | primaryIvey 2016 | 82% at 3 y | 30% at 3 y | HR 4.80 (95% CI 2.95–7.80)P<0.001Prognostic association in a cohort; the comparison is MRD-positive versus MRD-negative, not a randomised treatment comparison. |
| OSPatients with NPM1-mutated AML, MRD status in blood after the second chemotherapy cycle | primaryIvey 2016 | 24% | 75% | HR 4.38 (95% CI 2.57–7.47)P<0.001Survival rate as published; the abstract does not state the time point. In multivariate analysis the hazard ratio for death with MRD present was 4.84 (95% CI 2.57 to 9.15; P<0.001). |
| Endpoint | Analysis | NPM1 transcripts persistent | NPM1 transcripts not persistent | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relapse riskPatients with NPM1-mutated AML, MRD status in blood after the second chemotherapy cycle | primaryIvey 2016 | 82% at 3 y | 30% at 3 y | HR 4.80 (95% CI 2.95–7.80)P<0.001Prognostic association in a cohort; the comparison is MRD-positive versus MRD-negative, not a randomised treatment comparison. |
| OSPatients with NPM1-mutated AML, MRD status in blood after the second chemotherapy cycle | primaryIvey 2016 | 24% | 75% | HR 4.38 (95% CI 2.57–7.47)P<0.001Survival rate as published; the abstract does not state the time point. In multivariate analysis the hazard ratio for death with MRD present was 4.84 (95% CI 2.57 to 9.15; P<0.001). |
Data table
| Endpoint | HR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Relapse risk | 4.8 | 2.95–7.8 |
| OS | 4.38 | 2.57–7.47 |